Monday, December 4, 2017

NSE All Share Index Outlook for December, 2017 - Technical Perspective


The NSE All-Share Index  and Market Capitalization appreciated by 1.55% and 1.58% to close the last trading week in November 2017 at 37,944.60 and N13.215 trillion respectively. While the month of November has a 3.45% appreciation in the index and YtD now stands at 41.19% in the green


Trend Analysis

Monthly Trend Analysis of the NSE ASI showed a gradual pick in bullish momentum as the index is currently trending towards key resistance of 38,248 while also trading above Simple Moving Average 100. The index is trading above the SMA 100 which indicates a bullish sentiment

Volume traded in the month was strongly up by 74% relative to previous month of October, 2017.  
Oscillator indicator –Stochastic RSI currently trading at 78/72 levels


Source: Amibroker -  Monthly Chart


Daily trend analysis
On the daily timeframe, the index is currently expanding upward as the Price action continues to trend higher.

Daily Chart

Why is December 2017 important:
For the past 4 Decembers (2013 - 2016) we witnessed the All Share Index appreciate despite the bearish sentiment seen in those years. Year 2017 s a remarkable one as we have thus far seen a bullish trend in the market with the index at 41% positive.

Technically, the 2017 bullish trend is lilekly to continue into the month of December. A strong rally upward is expected.

Our Expectations:
The Index is currently trading at critical technical resistance levels at 37,023.5 - 38,097.2. A break above the resistance level on weekly basis would see a steep rally toward 43,224.70 as such stocks from the Industrial, Consumer Goods and Banking Stocks would be viable for investors. On the other hand, a reversal in trend below support 34,633.5 would see a sell off by the investing community towards next support 31,024. 

The month of December 2017 would most likely see a bullish rally in stocks favored by fund managers. Stocks such as NB Plc, NESTLE, Dangote Sugar, GTB, Total Plc, Unilever, Cadbury would remain a toast for investors as technical indicators has signaled 

 




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